
Before diving into predictions for this year's Red Sox newcomers, I wanted to look back at last year's lack-luster haul and evaluate the predictions.  This includes players from both the Yankees and Red Sox.  The information directly below each player is last year's assumptions, and below that is what actually happened.
Yankee Notable Acquisitions- Curtis Granderson, CF, #14 -  Granderson is a six-year ex-Tiger outfielder with a good combination of  speed and power at the plate.  He hit a career-high 30 home runs to go  with his 20 stolen bases in 160 games last year.  He strikes out a ton,  and was moved up and down the order from leadoff all the way to ninth by  Jim Leyland in Detroit.  As only the sixth member of the 20-20-20 club  in baseball (with the likes of Willy Mays and George Brett), he has the  ability to be an excellent leadoff hitter in the stacked Yankee lineup  if he can get on base.  But his .327 on base percentage in 2009 was the  lowest of career, as well as his .249 batting average.  But Derek Jeter  will stay in the cleanup role for now, and Granderson will probably take  advantage of the short right field deck at Yankee stadium and utilize  his lefty power in the three hole.  Time will tell if he can pick up his  average, and if he does, he is another scary element to the already  dynamic Yankee lineup. And Granderson will certainly be seeing plenty of  hittable pitches.
Projected Line:  .260 BA, 115 R, 32 HR, 90 RBI, 15 SB
ACTUAL RESULT:  Granderson's number took a dip, mainly because he missed 26 games with minor injuries.  He ended up batting .247, or .013 lower then predicted, and only scored 76 runs.  He hit 24 HRs, drove in 67, and stole 12 bases, which projects out to almost exactly what I predicted if you account for the missed games.  He managed to cut down his strikeout total to 116, but still doesn't put up a high enough OBP to bat leadoff, which is why Girardi bats him 8th.  Granderson turns 30 this March, and the Yankees will need him to get on base more and become the leadoff hitter that they lack, as Derek Jeter is a far cry from an ideal leadoff hitter at this point in his career.
-  Randy Winn, LF, #22 - Winn is 35 years old and his numbers plummeted  last year.  Replacing Johnny Damon in left field won't be at all  difficult with his glove, but at the plate is a different story.  Winn  will most likely platoon with youngster Brett Gardner and probably be  one of Girardi's first off the bench, but not too much is expected from  Winn except his veteran presence and leadership.  Winn should be able to  hit around his career BA of .286, but no one is expecting him to hit  more than ten HRs or contribute with a significant number of RBIs.  He  will hit at or near the bottom of the lineup, but is playing in a better  setting hitting-wise then San Francisco's AT&T Park.  The jury is  out on how he will contribute, as he could be anywhere from a complete  flop and release candidate to a solidly contributing veteran.
Projected Line:  .275 BA, 70 R, 6 HR, 47 RBI, 16 SB
ACTUAL RESULT:  The Yankees ended up releasing Winn after 29 games.  As their fifth outfielder, he hit .213 with just 1 HR and 8 RBIs in 61 at bats.  He only stole one base, and ultimately showed that his playing days are over.  The Cardinals ended up signing him for their last 87 games, and he finished the season with a .239 average to go with 4 HRs, 25 RBIs, 6 swipes, and a .981 fielding %.  As low as my predicted numbers were for him, I gave him TOO much credit.  Winn should find himself out of baseball this year or the next, as even a move to the National League didn't help him improve his numbers.
-  Nick Johnson, 1B/DH, #26 - Johnson returns to the Bronx after a  seven-year hiatus to DH and be Teixiera's backup at first.  His last  good season at the plate dates back to 2006, but batting lefty at Yankee  stadium and being surrounded by All-Star caliber hitters, he could  return to a 20 HR, 80 RBI player batting in the two spot.  He is a  tremendous glove off the bench, and with a weakening quality of  designated hitters in the American League, he could be in line for his  first All-Star appearance this year.
Projected Line:  .280 BA, 80 R, 21 HR, 77 RBI, 2 SB
ACTUAL RESULT:  Johnson limped into the beginning of the season, posting a .167 average with just 2 jacks and 8 ribbis.  He had season ending wrist surgery in May, and Yankees declined his option for 2011, leaving him without a home this year.  The jury is out on whether Johnson can find another job and return to 2009 form.  His wrist obviously ailed him through the start of last year, and ended his campaign before the Yankees could get a feel for him.  With Nick Swisher, Tex, and Jorge, Johnson wouldn't have had a place on the 2011 roster anyways.
-  Javier Vazquez, SP, #31 - Also returning to New York after six years  with three other teams, Vazquez will be looking to convert his success  with the Braves into being an above average number three starter behind  Sabathia and Burnett.  True, Javy won 14 games and struck out 150 in his  lone season with the Yankees in 2004, but he finished a horrific second  half of the season with a 4.91 ERA and was shelled in the playoffs,  allowing the Red Sox to make the most historic World Series run in the  history of the sport.  Vazquez will be 34 in July, and not counting his  2007 season with the White Sox, he has pitched poorly in the American  League to date.  He will strike out around 200 batters, but history  suggests that his ERA will shoot up one to 1.5 points from last years  career-low of 2.87.  Vazquez will receive the best run support of his  career, but at the expense of his individual statistics.  The bottom  line is that he will win games, and although they may not be pretty, he  probably is satisfied with sacrificing personal accomplishment for a  World Series shot.
Projected Line:  32 GS, 16-9 WL, 208 K, 28 HRA, 4.04 ERA
ACTUAL RESULT:  Vasquez was a failure in New York, and was moved to the bullpen in August.  He was then left off of the postseason roster, ending his second stint with the Yankees.  In 26 starts, Vasquez went 10-10 with a 5.32 ERA, and proved that he is nothing but a National League pitcher.  His strikeout total dipped to its lowest since 1999, and he allowed almost a hit per inning.  Vasquez has lost the zip on his fastball, and is struggling to hit 88+ in Marlins camp this spring.  A power pitcher who relies on ball movement, Vasquez has very little time left in his career at 34 years old.  Playing in the NL East may rejuvenate his career, but it is safe to say the Yankees struck out when they sent Melky Cabrera to Atlanta for him.
Red Sox Notable Acquisitions-  Adrian Beltre, 3B, #29 - Beltre's main contribution with this team will  be his glove.  As a hot corner upgrade over Lowell, Beltre will  contribute to the defensive philosophy that Theo Epstein has instill in  the ball club.  As for his bat, no one really knows what purpose he will  serve.  Could he post the .334-48-121 line he put up in 2004 with the  Dodgers?  Certainly not.  But excluding last year's injury marred  season, Beltre certainly hits better in contract years, and this could  be one of them.  In his best season with Seattle two seasons ago, Beltre  hit .276 with 26 dingers and 99 RBIs.  Fenway is a better hitter's park  then Safeco Field, and if Beltre can play a full season hitting seventh  in the lineup, his Gold Glove fielding should be a key cog to this  team's success.
Projected Line:  .275 BA, 65 R, 22 HR, 74 RBI, 9 SB
ACTUAL RESULT:  After an underachieving 5 years in Seattle, a one year stint in Boston was just what the doctor ordered for Beltre.  On a team devastated by injuries, he was a mainstay at third base, hitting .321 with 28 HRs and 102 RBIs, and was an MVP contender for much of the season.  Beltre abused the Green Monster, hitting 49 doubles, and posted his overall second best season of his career.  Beltre seems to follow a trend of posting spectacular seasons in contract years, as he did in LA in 2004.  The Red Sox offered him an extension, but he followed the money to Texas, where he is already expected to miss the first month with a strained calf.  Maybe Theo knew Beltre couldn't sustain those numbers, or maybe it was the luck of the draw that he ended up elsewhere.  But in the end, Red Sox fans will be MUCH more excited about Youk at third and Adrian Gonzalez at first.
-  Bill Hall, 2B/3B/OF, #22 - Billy-boy peaked in 2006 with Milwaukee,  posting a .270-35-85 line as the primary shortstop for the Brew Crew.   It has all been downhill since, leading to his release last season and  picking up right where he left off with Seattle.  His Mendoza-line  batting average and huge strikeout rate would be quite the turn-off, but  Hall will be utilized only as a utility player this year.  He is the  2010 version of Alex Cora, but a poor man's version.  He can't run, he  can't hit, but he flashes the glove and will be either a late inning  option off the bench or a solid contributor in Pawtucket this year.
Projected Line:  .215 BA, 31 R, 8 HR, 22 RBI, 5 SB
ACTUAL RESULT:  Hall ended up as one of the best bats off the bench in baseball, hitting 18 homeruns and driving in 46 in only 344 at bats.  Because the Sox were hit with the injury bug, he ended up playing in 120 games, probably twice as many as was expected.  He managed to bat .247, which is a little bit below his career average, but better then the .201 he hit in 2009 with the Brewers and Mariners.  Hall still strikes out way too much, he whiffed 104 times in 2010, which was about a third of his plate appearances.  Theo expressed interest in bringing him back, but he ended up signing a one-year, $3.25 million contract with Houston where he will start at second base.
-  Mike Cameron, CF, #23 - Again, a defensive signing, much to the chagrin  of Ellsbury, Cameron will man center field and bat eighth for the Sox.   This is Cameron's seventh team in 15 years, but he has been one of the  most consistent players in baseball in that time.  Almost every season  of his career is on par with his season average, and with no apparent  sign of decline, he should field with excellence and have an arm unseen  in center at Fenway in a long time.  His upside far outweighs the  possible negatives, and even at 37 years young he should certainly be  one of the best eight-spot hitters in baseball.  He will have ample  opportunity to solidify the bottom of the lineup, and could rise over  the course of the season if others falter.  But if he doesn't succeed,  he will be chased out of Boston quickly, primarily because he is black  ;) .
Projected Line:  .250 BA, 75 R, 23 HR, 76 RBI, 11 SB
ACTUAL RESULT:  As I said before the season started, the Cameron signing was a hail mary by Theo.  Cameron missed all but 48 games with a nagging groin injury, but played well when he could get on the field.  He hit .259 with 4 HRs and 15 RBIs, and played excellently in the field (as expected).  As he enters the final year of the two-year, $20 million deal he signed with Boston, he will begin the season as the team's fourth outfielder.  Jacoby will start in center again, but it remains to be seen if JD and Ellsbury can stay healthy.  After Cameron, the Sox have Kalish and Reddick, so if they could find a team to take Cameron, they would gladly deal him.  But because he is in the last year of his deal, he doesn't necessarily hurt to have as insurance, and Terry will find plenty of time to get him involved in 2011.
-  Jeremy Hermida, RF, #32 - The Marlins #1 overall draft pick in 2002 has  yet to live up to his lofty expectations, but Theo acquired him to be  the fourth outfielder on this squad.  Hermida is everything a manager  could want out his of first off the bench.  He is only 26, bats lefty,  has decent power, and is very versatile.  With JD Drew's injury history  and Mike Cameron's age, it is safe to say Hermida will see a good amount  of playing time.  He is a big upgrade over Rocco Baldelli, and not too  many Sox fans would be let down if (and when) he starts over an injured  JD Drew.
Projected Line:  .260 BA, 40 R, 12 HR, 45 RBI, 3 SB
ACTUAL RESULT:  So much for turning it around.  Hermida was designated after 52 disasterous games, batting .203 with just 5 jacks and 27 RBIs in 158 at bats with Boston.  Thankfully, Darnell McDonald stepped up and took the role of the fill-in outfielder, so Hermida wasn't missed.  The once highly touted prospect couldn't even get a major league deal this offseason, and instead will head to Cincinatti on a minor league contract and try to earn a spot on the bench.  Hermida continues to get worse every year.
-  Marco Scutaro, SS, #16 - Sox fans and front office alike are hoping  Scutaro can become what the franchise has lacked since Nomar:  a  consistent, every day shortstop who lasts more than one year.  Just like  Cameron, Scutaro can flash the leather and is on-par with his average  season batting line every year.  Reports out of spring training are that  him and Pedroia have a nice middle infield flow already, and by hitting  in the nine spot, Marco would have to be a complete bust to not meet  his mediocre expectations.  He is familiar with Fenway from his past two  years with Toronto, and with his two year contract with a third year  mutual option, he will have both the time and comfort of adjusting to  being the Red Sox new starting shortstop.  And although Scutaro is 34,  every season of his career he has showed improvement.
Projected Line:  .280 BA, 90 R, 10 HR, 50 RBI, 12 SB
ACTUAL RESULT:  Scutaro is almost too easy to predict.  He hit .275 with 11 HR, 56 RBIs, 92 runs, and 5 steals.  Theo didn't sign Scutaro for his bat, he signed him as a defensive stop-gap and transition player to Jose Iglesias.  But Scutaro had a career worst year in the field, and made 20 errors, which is completely unacceptable.  If he doesn't improve on his defense, look for Theo to make a quick and early move to acquire another shortstop for the short term until Iglesias is deemed big league ready.
-  John Lackey, SP, #40 - Lackey will be spending his first year out of  Anaheim in a place he has pitched extremely well in the past.  Fenway  has almost always been friendly to Lackey, who only two years ago took a  no hitter into the ninth against the Sox.  He is probably the best  middle of the rotation starter in the game, and should find comfort in  moving from his star-pitcher status on the Angels to being buried in the  excellent depth of the Red Sox rotation.  Lackey is once again healthy  and should make 28-32 starts, winning at least half.  His half-decade of  consistency and intensity in the American League made him one of the  most valuable commodities in free agency this year, and could be the  difference for this years Sox team.  He is a young veteran with an  intimidating physical presence on the mound, and will certainly be a  staple in what could be the best rotation in baseball this year.
Projected Line:  31 GS, 16-7 WL, 165 K, 17 HRA, 3.77 ERA
ACTUAL RESULT:  Lackey underachieved, going 14-11 with a 4.40 ERA.  Although he was the most consistent starter on the Sox, he was consistently mediocre and will have to improve on his 2010 numbers.  Lackey is always good for 10+ wins, but to win the East, the Sox need him to pitch like his 2007-self, with an ERA around 3 and win 15+ games, with or without the excellent run support that he received in 2010.